Some people asked why I’m doing this. It’s because I don’t trust the model. This shows that the model is changing wildly on a almost daily basis. Also note that the narrative is changing from “we’re flattening the curve so hospitals can respond” to “our actions are justified because it’s stopped the spread of the China Flu.” That’s a drastic shift in narrative.
Finally notice that this is the Gate’s Foundation model; that’s an important footnote.