China Flu in Montana 5/3/2020

Just as expected, now that Montana is removing the unconstitutional, poorly thought out, and ill advised restrictions on individual liberties, the story from the “experts” at IHME has changed:

Projections unavailable

Long-term projections are unavailable for this location. Our model does not account for easing social distancing or quantify the risk of resurgence.

https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america/montana

It’s what we’ve always known, if the model doesn’t account for easing social distancing, and the impact model with social distancing changes wildly, the experts have been clueless from day one. Why was the country shut down, if the model doesn’t show what would happen without social distancing? Undoubtedly that’s a different model…